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Analysis News Spotlights Stocks

Pound edges up as investors abandon dollar hit by trade war

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The pound edged higher against the dollar in early European trading, up 0.1% to $1.2915, as investors moved out of the greenback over concerns about a recession in the world’s largest economy.

Investors poured into safe havens like the yen and Swiss franc overnight and heavily sold the risk-sensitive Australian dollar.

“Things have gone from bad to worse,” said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG.

“If there isn’t some sort of walking back of the announcements, then we’re heading for a liquidity event and liquidity will get sucked out of these markets big time across all asset classes.”

Rodrigo Catril of National Australia Bank warned that “given the US is at the epicentre of the trade war, the USD has been suffering from outflows” with investors “looking … to diversify away from US assets”.

The dollar extended its losses on Monday morning, with the dollar index (DX-Y.NYB), which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, losing 0.7% to 102.32.

In other currency moves, sterling was down 0.4% against the euro, trading at €1.1708.

“The sharp spike in the VIX has overshadowed the pound’s larger resilience to tariffs – evidenced in the lower UK tariff rate – resulting in EUR/GBP trading much cheaper than rate differentials imply,” said Themistoklis Fiotakis, global head of FX research at Barclays

“We assess this to be a temporary bump and expect the pound to rebound vs. the EUR as equity volatility subsides,” he added.

Gold (GC=F)
Gold prices have retreated from their all-time high

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