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Shell’s Q3 financial forecast shows promise despite minor oil production dip

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Royal Dutch Shell (LON:SHEL)’s Q3 financial outlook, published on Friday, suggests that the energy giant is set to benefit from a sector-wide rally in oil, refined products, and gas prices. The company anticipates enhanced earnings from its gas, chemicals, and product trading operations. These expectations shows Shell’s revenue in the last twelve months (LTM2023.Q2) to be a staggering $358.59 billion, with a gross profit of $88.24 billion.

The report also indicates that despite a predicted slight drop in oil-equivalent barrels per day compared to Q3 2022, production volumes are expected to meet targets. This comes as the company tightens upward its expectations for liquefied natural gas (LNG). Shell’s integrated gas production and LNG liquefaction performance are linked to the maintenance of key assets in Prelude and Trinidad and Tobago. This is an important factor in understanding the company’s performance projections.

Shell has been aggressively buying back shares, a move that often signifies management’s confidence in the company’s future. Another noteworthy tip is that the company has maintained dividend payments for 19 consecutive years, which is reflected in the dividend yield of 4.23%.

Shell also foresees a corporate adjusted loss for the quarter. This follows a loss of $654 million reported in Q2 2023. This anticipated loss does not overshadow the fact that Shell has been profitable over the last twelve months. The recent rally in the energy sector could potentially uplift earnings for integrated energy players like Shell.

The official Q3 results of Shell are scheduled to be published on November 2, 2023. These results will provide a clearer picture of the company’s performance amidst fluctuating market conditions.  Shell’s fair value is estimated to be $79.1, which is higher than the previous close price of $62.04, indicating potential growth.

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